11/27: YanksBlog.com Community Projections 2006 in Review: The Pitchers
Posted by: Patrick
As a follow up to the hitters, here are the pitcher results from our community projections.
Randy Johnson
Individuals Dead On: James for games. Seamus and James for games started.
Mike Mussina
Individuals Dead On: Mike and Richard A. Holland for wins. Me for losses.
Chien-Ming Wang
Individuals Dead On: Richard A. Holland for wins. Me for walks.
Shawn Chacon
Individuals Dead On: Me for losses.
Carl Pavano
Individuals Dead On: Nobody.
Jaret Wright
Individuals Dead On: Mike for holds. Mike and me for saves.
Aaron Small
Individuals Dead On: Kyle for saves.
Kyle Farnsworth
Individuals Dead On: Mike for wins. Me for walks.
Octavio Dotel
Individuals Dead On: Mike for walks. Kyle for blown saves.
Tanyon Sturtze
Individuals Dead On: Kyle, Mike and James for saves.
Ron Villone
Individuals Dead On: Me for blown saves.
Mike Myers
Individuals Dead On: Me for games. Kyle and Mike for losses. Me for strikeouts. Kyle, Mike, me and James for saves. Me for blown saves.
Mariano Rivera
Individuals Dead On: Me and James for innings pitched. Mike for wins. Mike, Kyle, Patrick and James for holds. Me for blown saves.
Randy Johnson
G GS IP W L BB K ERAOur projection for Randy was pretty aggressive. We were hopeful that he'd return to form. Unfortunately, that didn't happen. Even so, we nailed games and games started and were only off on wins by 2.
Projected: 33 33 223.2 19 7 45 228 3.36
Actual: 33 33 205.0 17 11 60 172 5.00
Individuals Dead On: James for games. Seamus and James for games started.
Mike Mussina
G GS IP W L BB K ERAWhile we hoped The Unit would return to form, we didn't give Moose much of a chance. We got close in some areas, but on the whole, he proved us wrong, big time. He performed better than every single one of our projections.
Projected: 29 29 185.0 14 9 47 145 4.40
Actual: 32 32 197.1 15 7 35 172 3.51
Individuals Dead On: Mike and Richard A. Holland for wins. Me for losses.
Chien-Ming Wang
G GS IP W L BB K ERAWith Wang being a second year guy with only like half a season under his belt, it was hard to predict exactly where he would shake out and the stats above certainly show that. But, we were pleasantly surprised with him as he finished second in the Cy Young voting.
Projected: 28 27 168.0 14 7 41 103 3.86
Actual: 34 33 218.0 19 6 52 76 3.63
Individuals Dead On: Richard A. Holland for wins. Me for walks.
Shawn Chacon
G GS IP W L BB K ERAThe actual numbers above include the 9 games he pitched for Pittsburgh after we traded him. What to say? Chacon was a hard one to predict and we didn't get close. We hoped he'd pitch well and... he definitely didn't. Somehow, we managed to nail walks, but that's it. We were off on the rest by a lot.
Projected: 35 30 194.0 16 9 63 103 3.79
Actual: 26 20 109.0 7 6 63 62 6.36
Individuals Dead On: Me for losses.
Carl Pavano
G GS IP W L BB K ERALOL. We didn't think he'd play a full season, but we did think he'd get a fair amount of action. In reality, he didn't get any.
Projected: 24 24 142.1 12 9 31 85 4.39
Actual: 0 0 0.0 0 0 0 0 0.00
Individuals Dead On: Nobody.
Jaret Wright
G GS IP W L BB K HLD S ERAWe didn't expect much from Jaret this year. We expected injuries and we expected that when he did pitch, he'd pitch badly. But, that's not what he did. He became a decent part of the Yankees rotation, vastly surpassing our projects. We did nail saves, but that's not really a big deal.
Projected: 15 6 43.2 3 5 23 31 2 0 6.48
Actual: 30 27 140.1 11 7 57 84 1 0 4.49
Individuals Dead On: Mike for holds. Mike and me for saves.
Aaron Small
G GS IP W L BB K HLD S ERAThat didn't go so well. We were hoping Small would be a contributor and he wasn't.
Projected: 35 7 75.2 4 4 26 39 6 1 4.39
Actual: 11 3 27.2 0 3 12 12 0 0 8.46
Individuals Dead On: Kyle for saves.
Kyle Farnsworth
G IP W L BB K HLD S BS ERAIf you throw out ERA, this isn't that bad of a prediction. We were looking for numbers a little closer to his 2005 campaign, though.
Projected: 76 78.1 5 3 30 95 20 4 3 3.03
Actual: 72 66.0 3 6 28 75 19 6 4 4.36
Individuals Dead On: Mike for wins. Me for walks.
Octavio Dotel
G IP W L BB K HLD S BS ERAWe thought he'd come back sooner than he did and we thought he'd perform a lot better than he did. Unfortunately, both guesses were way off.
Projected: 39 42.2 3 2 15 57 11 2 2 3.03
Actual: 14 10.0 0 0 11 7 1 0 0 10.80
Individuals Dead On: Mike for walks. Kyle for blown saves.
Tanyon Sturtze
G IP W L BB K HLD S ERATanyon imploded at the beginning of the season and was demoted for good. It's safe to say that this is not what we had in mind.
Projected: 46 55.2 4 5 21 36 10 0 4.53
Active: 18 10.2 0 0 6 6 3 0 7.59
Individuals Dead On: Kyle, Mike and James for saves.
Ron Villone
G IP W L BB K HLD S BS ERAWe got close in a number of areas, but walks and ERA were quite a ways off. ERA was so far away that it kind of ruins the rest, but without that, it was a decent projection.
Projected: 71 71.0 6 3 34 67 13 1 2 3.84
Actual: 70 80.1 3 3 51 72 6 0 1 5.04
Individuals Dead On: Me for blown saves.
Mike Myers
G IP W L BB K HLD S BS ERAThis was a pretty nice projection. We were right on on losses, saves and blown saves and close on most everything else.
Projected: 66 38.2 2 2 13 23 10 0 1 3.11
Active: 62 30.2 1 2 10 22 18 0 1 3.23
Individuals Dead On: Me for games. Kyle and Mike for losses. Me for strikeouts. Kyle, Mike, me and James for saves. Me for blown saves.
Mariano Rivera
G IP W L BB K HLD S BS ERAWe got close in some areas, evening nailing innings pitched, but we were off by a fair bit in other categories.
Projected: 71 75.0 6 2 18 75 0 46 4 1.71
Actual: 63 75.0 5 5 11 55 0 37 3 1.80
Individuals Dead On: Me and James for innings pitched. Mike for wins. Mike, Kyle, Patrick and James for holds. Me for blown saves.