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03/02: Phil Hughes Crystal Ball

Posted by: James

John Sickels over at MinorLeagueBall.com has a crystal ball up for Phil Hughes today. I think it's a little too pessimistic but at the same time, I am very cognizant that this is a 21 year old kid that we're talking about. I am also very much aware of TINSTAAPP, as is John, whose preamble really needs to be read and understood by all Yankees fans who are expecting Hughes to Clemens immediately upon arrival.

He has previously done this for Melky Cabrera and I'd like to think that most Yankees fans were all right with the Melky forecast. I can't say the same with this Hughes one though as there are far too many people expecting great (not good, great) things from this kid. Those are the guys who will be upset that this forecast calls for Hughes to only be a 192 win, 3.71 ERA pitcher.

Comments

Mike A. wrote:

192 wins is alot. I'd take that performance.

03/02 11:57:30

James wrote:

As would I - especially consider that this included 2 seasons lost to injury. Heck, to put that many wins into perspective, if if he could put up 150 Wins for the Yanks - he'd be in the top 10 in team history -
http://www.baseball-referen...

03/02 13:16:40

Patrick wrote:

That's a good point. And 192 would put him behind only Ford and Ruffing.

03/02 13:19:16

Mike A. wrote:

If you believe the AL tacks on a half-a-run to ERA as opposed to the NL, Hughes career in the CB (192 wins, 3.71 ERA) would be right where John Smoltz is right now:

http://thebaseballcube.com/...

(minus all those saves of course)

03/02 14:53:34

James wrote:

Very good point about Smoltz, Mike and thanks for the link to his stats...I always forget how good he's been in his career (I think a lot of other people forget as well).

03/02 16:48:42

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03/02: Phil Hughes Crystal Ball

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James wrote:

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