03/10: YBCP 07: Robinson Cano
Posted by: James
Robinson Cano
Age: 24 Years Old (Turns 25 in October). (If you see this and don't get a smile on your face, there might be something wrong with the Yankees portion of your brain.)
Three-Year History, three-year splits and last year's splits.
Outlook: After a 2005 season where Cano finsihed second in the Rookie of the Year voting, expectations were mixed as to what he could provide the Yankees on a consistent basis. His minor league track record was somewhat erratic, and though he had made several strides in his the higher levels, Bryan Smith over at Baseball Analysts didn't expect much.
For the first two months of the year, Cano was fulfilling that prediction, hitting a fairly empty .293 with 13 base-hits (11 doubles). Then in June, apparently something clicked and he took off, pasting opposing pitchers to the tune of .398/.432/.566/.998 and taking his OPS from .701 to .792. Unfortunately, in the midst of this hot streak, he strained his left hamstring and missed six weeks of playing time. Luckily, when he returned, he didn't skip a beat, absolutely tattooing everything in sight and putting up a monstrous .365/.380/.635/1.015 after the ASB. It was truly something to watch as seemingly everything that came off Cano's bat was hit hard. Robbie was an All-Star, won the Silver Slugger at 2B and even got some MVP consideration (22nd) and took over the title of best hitting second baseman in the AL. As for his defense, how good it is can be argued amongst fans but he was certainly better last year than he was in his first year. If he can keep up what he showed last year, I really doubt anyone will be complaining.
Of course, there are some questions still to be answered as Robbie goes into this season. While he was on fire for 3 full months last season, there are still some people who want to see how consistently good he can be. Also, he has struggled in his career against lefties (.278/.315/.365/.680 versus lefties and .334/.352/.538/.890 against righties) and on the road (.283/.307/.443/.750 at home, .349 /.371/.529/.900 on the road) and any adjustments he can make in both these areas will be closely watched. Still, this is just nit-picking when you think about it; he's improved in both those areas since his first year and any other team would take Cano in a heartbeat. Luckily, it's Yankees fans who have the pleasure of seeing a talented, home-grown product mature on the field and it seems the question is no longer whether Cano can be a good player, but just how good can he ultimately be?
Please post your predictions for the following stat line in the comments section:
Age: 24 Years Old (Turns 25 in October). (If you see this and don't get a smile on your face, there might be something wrong with the Yankees portion of your brain.)
Three-Year History, three-year splits and last year's splits.
SEASON | Team | G | AB | H | 1B | 2B | 3B | HR | R | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2005 | Yankees | 132 | 522 | 155 | 103 | 34 | 4 | 14 | 78 | 62 | 16 | 68 | 1 | 3 | .297 |
2006 | Yankees | 122 | 482 | 165 | 108 | 41 | 1 | 15 | 62 | 78 | 18 | 54 | 5 | 2 | .342 |
2007 | Bill James | 149 | 557 | 181 | 117 | 44 | 3 | 17 | 80 | 83 | 23 | 60 | 4 | 2 | .325 |
2007 | CHONE | 522 | 163 | 106 | 37 | 3 | 17 | 66 | 75 | 27 | 63 | 3 | 2 | .312 | |
2007 | Marcel | 476 | 153 | 101 | 35 | 2 | 15 | 69 | 70 | 23 | 62 | 4 | 2 | .321 | |
2007 | ZiPS | 568 | 179 | 117 | 41 | 3 | 18 | 81 | 97 | 24 | 68 | 3 | 2 | .315 |
SEASON | Team | BB% | K% | BB/K | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2005 | Yankees | 3.0 % | 13.0 % | 0.24 | .320 | .458 | .778 | .161 | .320 |
2006 | Yankees | 3.6 % | 11.2 % | 0.33 | .365 | .525 | .890 | .183 | .363 |
2007 | Bill James | 4.0 % | 10.8 % | 0.38 | .354 | .506 | .860 | .181 | .342 |
2007 | CHONE | 4.9 % | 12.1 % | 0.43 | .350 | .492 | .842 | .180 | .330 |
2007 | Marcel | 4.6 % | 13.0 % | 0.37 | .354 | .498 | .852 | .176 | .346 |
2007 | ZiPS | 4.1 % | 12.0 % | 0.35 | .343 | .493 | .836 | .178 | .334 |
Outlook: After a 2005 season where Cano finsihed second in the Rookie of the Year voting, expectations were mixed as to what he could provide the Yankees on a consistent basis. His minor league track record was somewhat erratic, and though he had made several strides in his the higher levels, Bryan Smith over at Baseball Analysts didn't expect much.
Cano is another player that I obviously underrated too much as a prospect, not taking his 100 RBI+ season into enough consideration. But, really, is Cano's ceiling much above his performance in 2005? Do we really see a player that even has the possibility to be better than Weeks? Not for me, at least, as I believe Cano will teeter-totter among being an average second baseman for as long as the Yanks let him.
For the first two months of the year, Cano was fulfilling that prediction, hitting a fairly empty .293 with 13 base-hits (11 doubles). Then in June, apparently something clicked and he took off, pasting opposing pitchers to the tune of .398/.432/.566/.998 and taking his OPS from .701 to .792. Unfortunately, in the midst of this hot streak, he strained his left hamstring and missed six weeks of playing time. Luckily, when he returned, he didn't skip a beat, absolutely tattooing everything in sight and putting up a monstrous .365/.380/.635/1.015 after the ASB. It was truly something to watch as seemingly everything that came off Cano's bat was hit hard. Robbie was an All-Star, won the Silver Slugger at 2B and even got some MVP consideration (22nd) and took over the title of best hitting second baseman in the AL. As for his defense, how good it is can be argued amongst fans but he was certainly better last year than he was in his first year. If he can keep up what he showed last year, I really doubt anyone will be complaining.
Of course, there are some questions still to be answered as Robbie goes into this season. While he was on fire for 3 full months last season, there are still some people who want to see how consistently good he can be. Also, he has struggled in his career against lefties (.278/.315/.365/.680 versus lefties and .334/.352/.538/.890 against righties) and on the road (.283/.307/.443/.750 at home, .349 /.371/.529/.900 on the road) and any adjustments he can make in both these areas will be closely watched. Still, this is just nit-picking when you think about it; he's improved in both those areas since his first year and any other team would take Cano in a heartbeat. Luckily, it's Yankees fans who have the pleasure of seeing a talented, home-grown product mature on the field and it seems the question is no longer whether Cano can be a good player, but just how good can he ultimately be?
Please post your predictions for the following stat line in the comments section:
AB | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
---|
Patrick wrote:
605 AB
82 R
21 HR
98 RBI
6 SB
.310 AVG
.360 OBA
.541 SLG
I think it's kind of unfair to forecast an average that high... or higher... but, that doesn't mean I'd be surprised if he hit .330 or .340.