02/27: YB Community Projection: Jorge Posada
Posted by: James
Here's the basics of what we're trying to do. These posts will remain open until right before the beginning of the season.
Jorge Posada - Catcher
Age: 34 Years Old (Turns 35 in August).
3-Year History:
Outlook: To this point in his career, Jorge Posada has been one of a rare breed - a switch-hitting catcher who can hit with both patience and power. However, he's not getting any younger (34 on opening day) and you can see the pretty steep decline of his hitting stats over the course of the past three years. That being said, I am still willing to give Jorge the benefit of the doubt that he hasn't completely fallen off and attribute some of that last year's failures to both injury and bad luck. He had an absolutely horrendous July (.169/.259/.324 for a .583 OPS) which I think kept his overall numbers artificially lower than what he can still produce. He still has a good eye at the plate and as he showed in the second half of the year, still has some pop in his bat (.447 SLG vs. .416 SLG before the All-Star Break). The days of a .400 OBP and .475 SLG are probably gone but there should still be some life in Posada's bat and while he remains one of the top-tier catchers in baseball, he's no longer in the top 3. (Also, SG over at RLYW has a look at Posada (and Stinnett) if you want to check that out before making your predictions.)
Please post your predictions for the following stat line in the comments section:
Jorge Posada - Catcher
Age: 34 Years Old (Turns 35 in August).
3-Year History:
SEASON | G | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2003 | 142 | 481 | 83 | 135 | 24 | 0 | 30 | 101 | 93 | 110 | 2 | 4 | .281 | .405 | .518 | .923 |
2004 | 137 | 449 | 72 | 122 | 31 | 0 | 21 | 81 | 88 | 92 | 1 | 3 | .272 | .400 | .481 | .881 |
2005 | 142 | 474 | 67 | 124 | 23 | 0 | 19 | 71 | 66 | 94 | 1 | 0 | .262 | .352 | .430 | .782 |
Outlook: To this point in his career, Jorge Posada has been one of a rare breed - a switch-hitting catcher who can hit with both patience and power. However, he's not getting any younger (34 on opening day) and you can see the pretty steep decline of his hitting stats over the course of the past three years. That being said, I am still willing to give Jorge the benefit of the doubt that he hasn't completely fallen off and attribute some of that last year's failures to both injury and bad luck. He had an absolutely horrendous July (.169/.259/.324 for a .583 OPS) which I think kept his overall numbers artificially lower than what he can still produce. He still has a good eye at the plate and as he showed in the second half of the year, still has some pop in his bat (.447 SLG vs. .416 SLG before the All-Star Break). The days of a .400 OBP and .475 SLG are probably gone but there should still be some life in Posada's bat and while he remains one of the top-tier catchers in baseball, he's no longer in the top 3. (Also, SG over at RLYW has a look at Posada (and Stinnett) if you want to check that out before making your predictions.)
Please post your predictions for the following stat line in the comments section:
AB | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
---|
James wrote:
.270/.360/.465 with 20 HRs and 70 RBI which will be good for 65 Runs.
I think he might throw in one SB just to keep ptichers honest ;)