02/28: YB Community Projection: Jason Giambi
Posted by: James
Jason Giambi - First Base (Ooh - graphs - sorry, I'm easily distracted by colors!)
Age: 35 Years Old.
Three Year History and splits:
Outlook: Your outlook on Giambi depends entirely on how you viewed both parts of his last year. Through the first 47 games (6/12/05), Giambi posted a .234/.383/.340 line with just 7 XBHs. 6/14/05: NY starts a series with the Pirates. Jason goes 1 for 2 with a double and from that point until the end of the season, Giambi’s line was .290/.468/.634 with a HR every 9.86 ABs. What do you put more stock in? The idea that that Giambi had one last surge left and that we just witnessed it? Or that the trials that he went through (which he brought on himself) have helped and focused him? Was his second half resurrgence a fluke? I personally don't think so. You don't get Giambi good overnight...and you don't lose it overnight either. That being said, the man is another year older and is looking at the strain of a full year of playing first base (of course, we, and he, all know that he hits quite a bit better when he's playing first). His strikeout percentages are creeping up and he's probably not capable of putting up a .300 average anymore. Nevertheless, with that batting eye, he can still gets on base better than anyone in the AL. The real questions lie with his power and whether Jason can still be an elite-level hitter in that area as well. (Also, SG over at RLYW has a look at Giambi (and Phillips) if you want to check that out before making your predictions.)
Please post your predictions for the following stat line in the comments section:
Age: 35 Years Old.
Three Year History and splits:
| SEASON | G | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | 156 | 535 | 97 | 134 | 25 | 0 | 41 | 107 | 129 | 140 | 2 | 1 | .250 | .412 | .527 | .939 |
| 2004 | 80 | 264 | 33 | 55 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 40 | 47 | 62 | 0 | 1 | .208 | .342 | .379 | .721 |
| 2005 | 139 | 417 | 74 | 113 | 14 | 0 | 32 | 87 | 108 | 109 | 0 | 0 | .271 | .440 | .535 | .975 |
Outlook: Your outlook on Giambi depends entirely on how you viewed both parts of his last year. Through the first 47 games (6/12/05), Giambi posted a .234/.383/.340 line with just 7 XBHs. 6/14/05: NY starts a series with the Pirates. Jason goes 1 for 2 with a double and from that point until the end of the season, Giambi’s line was .290/.468/.634 with a HR every 9.86 ABs. What do you put more stock in? The idea that that Giambi had one last surge left and that we just witnessed it? Or that the trials that he went through (which he brought on himself) have helped and focused him? Was his second half resurrgence a fluke? I personally don't think so. You don't get Giambi good overnight...and you don't lose it overnight either. That being said, the man is another year older and is looking at the strain of a full year of playing first base (of course, we, and he, all know that he hits quite a bit better when he's playing first). His strikeout percentages are creeping up and he's probably not capable of putting up a .300 average anymore. Nevertheless, with that batting eye, he can still gets on base better than anyone in the AL. The real questions lie with his power and whether Jason can still be an elite-level hitter in that area as well. (Also, SG over at RLYW has a look at Giambi (and Phillips) if you want to check that out before making your predictions.)
Please post your predictions for the following stat line in the comments section:
| AB | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|
James wrote:
Let me preface my predictions by saying that while Giambi brought the steroid thing on himself, I've always been a big fan of redemption stories so I might be looking at him with rose-colored glasses.
In 500 ABs:
.265/.405/.520 with 35 HRs and 110 RBI which will be good for 90 Runs.
And no, neither I nor Ms. Cleo see any SBs in Giambi's future.