03/16: YB Community Projection: Shawn Chacon
Posted by: James
Shawn Chacon - Starting Pitcher
Age: 28 Years Old.
Three-Year History and splits:
Outlook: If you look at Chacon's work for both Colorado and the Yankees last season quickly, there really wasn't all that much difference between the two except for a couple more walks there, a couple less hits here and oh, huge differences in ERA and batting average allowed (2.85 ERA, .225 AVG with the Yanks vs. 4.09 ERA, .260 AVG in Colorado). SG did some legwork with his splits and makes a good point that all of a sudden Shawn became very good (or just very lucky) with runners on and that his batting average on balls in play took a nosedive. Looking at those numbers and factoring in the DH and other league adjustments, I think that most fans will agree that some regression is inevitable - it's just a question of how much there will be.
Those are the negatives, here are some positives. He just turned 28, he doesn't have a lot of innings on his arm, he's finally left Colorado and is now pitching for an organization that he (outwardly at least) seems to love. If you add his attitude on the mound (I fondly remember him stepping to and jawing at A.J. Pierzynski), you have a lot of reasons to like what Shawn brings to the team. All he has to do now is show that he can be better than average and stay healthy (he's maxed out at only 160 innings in his major-league career) and Yankees fans will love him.
Please post your predictions for the following stat line in the comments section:
Age: 28 Years Old.
Three-Year History and splits:
| SEASON | G | GS | CG | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | SO | W | L | SV | HLD | BLSV | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 137.0 | 124 | 73 | 70 | 12 | 58 | 93 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | -- | 4.60 |
| 2004 | 66 | 0 | 0 | 63.1 | 71 | 52 | 50 | 12 | 52 | 52 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 0 | 9 | 7.11 |
| 2005 | 27 | 24 | 0 | 152.2 | 135 | 59 | 58 | 14 | 66 | 79 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | -- | 3.44 |
Outlook: If you look at Chacon's work for both Colorado and the Yankees last season quickly, there really wasn't all that much difference between the two except for a couple more walks there, a couple less hits here and oh, huge differences in ERA and batting average allowed (2.85 ERA, .225 AVG with the Yanks vs. 4.09 ERA, .260 AVG in Colorado). SG did some legwork with his splits and makes a good point that all of a sudden Shawn became very good (or just very lucky) with runners on and that his batting average on balls in play took a nosedive. Looking at those numbers and factoring in the DH and other league adjustments, I think that most fans will agree that some regression is inevitable - it's just a question of how much there will be.
Those are the negatives, here are some positives. He just turned 28, he doesn't have a lot of innings on his arm, he's finally left Colorado and is now pitching for an organization that he (outwardly at least) seems to love. If you add his attitude on the mound (I fondly remember him stepping to and jawing at A.J. Pierzynski), you have a lot of reasons to like what Shawn brings to the team. All he has to do now is show that he can be better than average and stay healthy (he's maxed out at only 160 innings in his major-league career) and Yankees fans will love him.
Please post your predictions for the following stat line in the comments section:
| G | GS | Innings | W | L | BB | K | ERA |
|---|
Mike A. wrote:
Every team has a hard luck pitcher each year - the guy who pitches well but can't catch a break (see Kevin Millwood of 2005).
I think Chacon's the guy for the Yanks this year.